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DESCRIPTION:Success Breeds Success: Weight Loss Dynamics in the Presence of
  Short-Term and Long-Term Goals\n\nAbstract\n\nWe investigate the role of 
 short-term goal achievement on long-term goal achievement under the contex
 t of weight loss. Using novel large-scale data from a freemium mobile weig
 ht management application\, we track the daily dynamics of weight loss acr
 oss a large number of users. The application sets a salient daily budget f
 or calories\, and by comparing cases in which the user is slightly under o
 r over-budget\, we provide an empirical link between short-term goal achie
 vement and various long-term outcomes. Most importantly\, we show that our
  results are robust to potential manipulation of calories consumption arou
 nd the goal by implementing a nonparametric manipulation-robust regression
  discontinuity design. Next\, we demonstrate using a dynamic regression di
 scontinuity design that the short-term goal achievement effects persist ov
 er time\, which reveals the self-reinforcing nature of short-term achievem
 ents. Finally\, estimates from a dynamic structural model of calories mana
 gement reveal that users receive positive utility from past short-term goa
 l accomplishments\, and counterfactual analysis with the estimated model q
 uantify the long-run user benefits of various hypothetical policies that a
 djust the budget of calories.\n\n \n
DTSTART:20170802T150000Z
DTEND:20170802T163000Z
SUMMARY:BRIDGE Webinar: Nathan Yang\, ɬÀï·¬
URL:/desautels/channels/event/bridge-webinar-nathan-ya
 ng-mcgill-university-269024
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