BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20251008T145140EDT-84919EUV5C@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20251008T185140Z DESCRIPTION:\n \n \n \n \n TITLE / TITRE\n Adaptive Bayesian predictive inference \n \n ABSTRACT /RÉSUMÉ\n\n Bayesian predictive inference provides a coherent description of entire predictive uncertainty through predictive distributi ons. We examine several widely used sparsity priors from the predictive (a s opposed to estimation) inference viewpoint. Our context is estimating a predictive distribution of a high-dimensional Gaussian observation with a known variance but an unknown sparse mean under the Kullback–Leibler loss. First\, we show that LASSO (Laplace) priors are incapable of achieving ra te-optimal performance. This new result contributes to the literature on n egative findings about Bayesian LASSO posteriors. However\, deploying the Laplace prior inside the Spike-and-Slab framework (for example with the Sp ike-and-Slab LASSO prior)\, rate-minimax performance can be attained with properly tuned parameters (depending on the sparsity level sn). We highlig ht the discrepancy be- tween prior calibration for the purpose of predicti on and estimation. Going further\, we investigate popular hierarchical pri ors which are known to attain adaptive rate-minimax performance for estima tion. Whether or not they are rate-minimax also for predictive inference h as\, until now\, been unclear. We answer affirmatively by showing that hie rarchical Spike-and-Slab priors are adaptive and attain the minimax rate w ithout the knowledge of sn. This is the first rate-adaptive result in the literature on predictive density estimation in sparse setups. This finding celebrates benefits of a fully Bayesian inference.\n\n PLACE / LIEU \n En l igne / Online\n \n ZOOM\n https://hecmontreal.zoom.us/j/87251454048?pwd=MHBzL 2VXbStQaTIxRmNKZnhobld6Zz09\n ID: 872 5145 4048 / CODE: csmqV\n \n ORGANIZERS /ORGANISATEURS \n Léo Belzile (Université de Montréal)\n Joel Kamnitzer (Mc Gill University)\n Giovanni Rosso (Concordia University)\n Alina Stancu (Con cordia University)\n \n \n \n\n DTSTART:20240223T203000Z DTEND:20240223T213000Z SUMMARY:Veronika Ročková (University of Chicago) URL:/mathstat/channels/event/veronika-rockova-universi ty-chicago-355501 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR