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DTSTAMP:20250807T171306Z
DESCRIPTION:You are all invited to the Annual Marrett Lecture on Political 
 Violence and Terrorism\, which is funded by the John and Eileen Marrett Me
 morial Fund:\n\n“Superstitions and Civilian Displacement: Evidence from th
 e Colombian Conflict”\n\nOliver Kaplan\, University of Denver\n	Friday\, Ap
 ril 8\, 2022\n	12:00 – 1:30 pm\n	Leacock 429 \n\nCo-sponsored by the Centre 
 for International Peace and Security Studies\n\nAbstract:\n	Violence during
  armed conflict has been explained using a variety of theories\, including
  rationality\, organizational dynamics\, and personal and collective griev
 ances. These explanations overlook the significance of what some might ter
 m “irrational” belief systems that are found in different countries among 
 both combatants and the general population. Conflict-related religious and
  superstitious beliefs can shape civilians’ faith\, resolve\, optimism\, s
 ocial ties\, and therefore levels of risk-acceptance and decisions to disp
 lace from their communities. This study explores new survey and interview 
 data from Colombia and shows that a substantial share of the conflict-affe
 cted population holds a variety of conflict-related superstitious beliefs.
  It analyzes the determinants of these beliefs and assess their impacts on
  three key displacement-related outcomes: How likely are individuals to di
 splace if their town is attacked\; how able they are to cope with the diff
 iculties of daily life in conflict zones (resilience)\; and whether they w
 ould recommend that displaced relatives return home. The paper uses regres
 sion analysis\, statistical matching techniques\, and interview and focus 
 group accounts to assess the contributions of conflict-related superstitio
 ns and religious beliefs and practices to these outcomes. The paper conclu
 des with a discussion of implications for the field of conflict studies\, 
 as the findings suggest existing theories of conflict and violence may be 
 based on incomplete foundations and inaccurate models of decision-making.
 \n
DTSTART:20220408T160000Z
DTEND:20220408T173000Z
LOCATION:Room 429\, Leacock Building\, CA\, QC\, Montreal\, H3A 2T7\, 855 r
 ue Sherbrooke Ouest
SUMMARY:MARRETT LECTURE: Oliver Kaplan\, “Superstitions and Civilian Displa
 cement: Evidence from the Colombian Conflict”
URL:/politicalscience/channels/event/marrett-lecture-o
 liver-kaplan-superstitions-and-civilian-displacement-evidence-colombian-co
 nflict-338854
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